Oracle Corporation
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-52.0% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-12.4% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
15.9% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-459.41 | -482.9% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $148.22 | 23.5% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $240.24 | 100.3% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $44.02 | -63.3% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $111.67 | -6.9% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $98.45 | -17.9% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, ORCL appears fairly valued at the current price of $119.97. The base case fair value of $105.06 implies 12.4% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.