Oracle Corporation
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-68.4% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-42.5% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-25.3% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-467.60 | -354.0% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $146.18 | -20.6% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $259.83 | 41.1% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $44.30 | -75.9% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $111.67 | -39.3% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $99.87 | -45.8% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, ORCL appears overvalued at the current price of $184.10. The base case fair value of $105.77 implies 42.5% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.