Philip Morris International Inc.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-55.5% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-37.1% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-19.0% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-101.65 | -153.3% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $127.91 | -33.0% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $75.70 | -60.3% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $112.23 | -41.2% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $163.52 | -14.3% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $211.09 | 10.6% | High (70%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, PM appears overvalued at the current price of $190.82. The base case fair value of $120.07 implies 37.1% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.