Philip Morris International Inc.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-53.3% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-34.2% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-26.5% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-93.31 | -150.7% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $130.11 | -29.3% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $77.20 | -58.1% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $112.23 | -39.0% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $137.10 | -25.5% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $211.09 | 14.7% | High (70%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, PM appears overvalued at the current price of $184.06. The base case fair value of $121.17 implies 34.2% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.