Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-64.3% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-43.0% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-7.8% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $74.54 | -75.6% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $307.31 | 0.7% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $1076.95 | 253.1% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $116.87 | -61.7% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $254.94 | -16.4% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $101.18 | -66.8% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $174.01 | -43.0% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, RCL appears overvalued at the current price of $305.04. The base case fair value of $174.01 implies 43.0% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.