Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-63.0% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-41.3% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-4.5% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $72.66 | -75.3% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $307.24 | 4.4% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $1114.65 | 278.6% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $116.87 | -60.3% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $254.94 | -13.4% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $101.18 | -65.6% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $172.79 | -41.3% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, RCL appears overvalued at the current price of $294.38. The base case fair value of $172.79 implies 41.3% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.