Rio Tinto Group
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-99.5% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-99.2% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-98.4% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-9.05 | -100.0% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $464.18 | -97.6% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $963.21 | -95.1% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $150.70 | -99.2% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $115.47 | -99.4% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $151.25 | -99.2% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $74.34 | -99.6% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, RIO.BA appears overvalued at the current price of $19730.00. The base case fair value of $150.70 implies 99.2% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.