Rio Tinto Group
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-4.8% vs price
Base Case (Median)
33.8% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
72.0% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $63.73 | -34.4% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $241.76 | 148.8% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $199.26 | 105.0% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $108.54 | 11.7% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $130.01 | 33.8% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $135.04 | 39.0% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $76.47 | -21.3% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, RIO appears fairly valued at the current price of $97.18. The base case fair value of $130.01 implies 33.8% upside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.