Rio Tinto Group
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-7.7% vs price
Base Case (Median)
25.3% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
63.0% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $11.20 | -89.4% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $231.88 | 119.0% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $208.12 | 96.5% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $106.54 | 0.6% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $137.06 | 29.4% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $132.65 | 25.3% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $88.92 | -16.0% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, RIO appears fairly valued at the current price of $105.89. The base case fair value of $132.65 implies 25.3% upside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.