Safran S.A.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-78.8% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-66.9% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-13.4% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $13.32 | -86.3% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $75.69 | -22.3% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $263.44 | 170.3% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $27.94 | -71.3% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $32.31 | -66.9% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $93.17 | -4.4% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $12.26 | -87.4% | High (70%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, SAFRY appears overvalued at the current price of $97.47. The base case fair value of $32.31 implies 66.9% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.