Safran S.A.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-76.5% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-64.4% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-5.9% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $13.87 | -84.3% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $75.59 | -14.4% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $263.83 | 198.9% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $27.54 | -68.8% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $31.38 | -64.5% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $90.49 | 2.5% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $12.08 | -86.3% | High (70%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, SAFRY appears overvalued at the current price of $88.27. The base case fair value of $31.38 implies 64.4% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.