PT Sumber Global Energy Tbk
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-55.2% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-46.7% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
26.4% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-116.66 | -128.7% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $172.97 | -57.4% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $609.70 | 50.2% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $208.96 | -48.5% | Medium (40%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $223.73 | -44.9% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $869.41 | 114.1% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, SGER.JK appears fairly valued at the current price of $406.00. The base case fair value of $216.34 implies 46.7% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.