The Southern Company
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-63.4% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-41.7% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-31.6% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-102.09 | -208.0% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $61.81 | -34.6% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $22.52 | -76.2% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $55.15 | -41.7% | Medium (40%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $129.95 | 37.5% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $46.65 | -50.7% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $67.45 | -28.7% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, SO appears overvalued at the current price of $94.54. The base case fair value of $55.15 implies 41.7% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.