Simon Property Group, Inc.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-21.0% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-9.9% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
2.1% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $4357.98 | 1800.0% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $213.35 | -7.0% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $174.75 | -23.8% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $71.82 | -68.7% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $241.01 | 5.1% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $200.20 | -12.7% | Medium (20%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, SPG appears fairly valued at the current price of $229.37. The base case fair value of $206.77 implies 9.9% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.