Spotify Technology S.A.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-83.4% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-76.2% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-49.1% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $57.42 | -88.1% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $180.43 | -62.6% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $2130.15 | 341.9% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $99.01 | -79.5% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $114.74 | -76.2% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $309.98 | -35.7% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $60.55 | -87.4% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, SPOT appears overvalued at the current price of $482.00. The base case fair value of $114.74 implies 76.2% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.