Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from company filings.
Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from company filings.
Spotify Technology S.A.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-78.2% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-72.2% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-59.3% vs price
◇ = Current price | | Bear | Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $125.92 | -77.2% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $214.55 | -61.2% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $234.83 | -57.5% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $115.06 | -79.2% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $153.71 | -72.2% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $347.46 | -37.1% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $59.64 | -89.2% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 7 methods, SPOT appears overvalued at the current price of $552.56. The base case fair value of $153.71 implies 72.2% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.