Spotify Technology S.A.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-83.9% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-76.8% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-51.0% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $57.23 | -88.4% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $174.42 | -64.7% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $2403.02 | 385.7% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $99.01 | -80.0% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $114.74 | -76.8% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $309.98 | -37.3% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $60.35 | -87.8% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, SPOT appears overvalued at the current price of $494.72. The base case fair value of $114.74 implies 76.8% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.