Block, Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-75.4% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-61.6% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-41.5% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $10.64 | -87.3% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $32.08 | -61.6% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $65.27 | -21.8% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $32.32 | -61.3% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $27.62 | -66.9% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $106.44 | 27.5% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $13.36 | -84.0% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, SQ appears overvalued at the current price of $83.46. The base case fair value of $32.08 implies 61.6% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.