PT Transcoal Pacific Tbk
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-97.6% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-94.6% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-94.3% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-2351.16 | -125.3% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $516.00 | -94.5% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $258.01 | -97.2% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $498.02 | -94.6% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $1215.27 | -86.9% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $190.40 | -98.0% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $535.95 | -94.2% | High (70%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, TCPI.JK appears overvalued at the current price of $9300.00. The base case fair value of $498.02 implies 94.6% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.