U-Haul Holding Company
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-98.1% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-93.4% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-84.7% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-99.37 | -236.7% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $3.68 | -94.9% | Medium (25%) |
| Graham Number | $12.88 | -82.3% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $89.72 | 23.5% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $0.63 | -99.1% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $5.84 | -92.0% | High (70%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, UHAL appears overvalued at the current price of $72.67. The base case fair value of $4.76 implies 93.4% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.