Valvoline Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-79.9% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-73.1% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-15.0% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-218.39 | -746.1% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $9.09 | -73.1% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $7.00 | -79.3% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $6.58 | -80.5% | Medium (40%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $39.25 | 16.1% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $20.80 | -38.5% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $36.66 | 8.5% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, VVV appears overvalued at the current price of $33.80. The base case fair value of $9.09 implies 73.1% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.