Willis Lease Finance Corporation
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-47.6% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-2.2% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
21.4% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-489.22 | -988.0% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $42.59 | -22.7% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $65.13 | 18.2% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $24.31 | -55.9% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $67.45 | 22.4% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $261.23 | 374.2% | High (70%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, WLFC appears fairly valued at the current price of $55.09. The base case fair value of $53.86 implies 2.2% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.