Exxon Mobil Corporation
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-50.6% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-43.1% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-19.1% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $0.31 | -99.8% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $73.03 | -52.8% | Medium (25%) |
| Graham Number | $89.39 | -42.2% | Medium (40%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $156.69 | 1.2% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $86.78 | -43.9% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $137.11 | -11.4% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, XOM appears overvalued at the current price of $154.78. The base case fair value of $88.09 implies 43.1% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.