YPF Sociedad Anónima
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-81.8% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-64.0% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-56.7% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-22148.54 | -126.5% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $10972.92 | -86.9% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $37459.03 | -55.1% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $27815.10 | -66.7% | Medium (40%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $186876.14 | 123.9% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $32292.82 | -61.3% | Medium (20%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, YPFD.BA appears overvalued at the current price of $83475.00. The base case fair value of $30053.96 implies 64.0% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.