Alibaba Group Holding Limited
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
289.4% vs price
Base Case (Median)
326.6% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
981.9% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-44.09 | -389.5% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $395.39 | 2496.2% | Medium (25%) |
| Graham Number | $164.77 | 981.9% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $59.30 | 289.3% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $64.97 | 326.6% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 5 out of 8 methods, BABAF appears undervalued at the current price of $15.23. The base case fair value of $64.97 implies 326.6% upside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.