BHP Group Limited
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-35.7% vs price
Base Case (Median)
0.3% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
62.3% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $50.71 | -45.0% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $150.01 | 62.8% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $149.04 | 61.8% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $60.02 | -34.9% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $92.42 | 0.3% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $164.47 | 78.5% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $58.41 | -36.6% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, BHP appears fairly valued at the current price of $92.13. The base case fair value of $92.42 implies 0.3% upside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.