Tesla, Inc.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-95.8% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-94.1% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-92.8% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-1.65 | -100.4% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $19.92 | -95.3% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $24.94 | -94.1% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $24.99 | -94.1% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $36.48 | -91.4% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $43.41 | -89.8% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $15.95 | -96.3% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, TSLA appears overvalued at the current price of $426.01. The base case fair value of $24.94 implies 94.1% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.