Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from SEC filings.
Tesla, Inc.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-93.9% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-92.9% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-91.2% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE Comparable | $20.32 | -94.2% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $25.11 | -92.9% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $24.83 | -93.0% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $33.25 | -90.6% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $36.16 | -89.8% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $11.98 | -96.6% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, TSLA appears overvalued at the current price of $352.89. The base case fair value of $24.97 implies 92.9% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.