Tesla, Inc.
High uncertainty: The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
$16.38
-95.5% vs price
Base Case (Median)
$22.31
-93.9% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
$33.58
-90.9% vs price
◇ = Current price | | Bear | Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $2.03 | -99.4% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $19.74 | -94.6% | Medium (25%) |
| PEG-Based Value | $39.30 | -89.3% | Low (10%) |
| Graham Number | $24.88 | -93.2% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $36.48 | -90.1% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $15.26 | -95.9% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 6 out of 7 methods, TSLA appears overvalued at the current price of $367.96. The base case fair value of $22.31 implies 93.9% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.