Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from company filings.
Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from company filings.
Alcoa Corp
High uncertainty: The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-36.4% vs price
Base Case (Median)
7.1% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
49.6% vs price
◇ = Current price | | Bear | Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $39.76 | -5.2% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $85.22 | 103.2% | Medium (25%) |
| Graham Number | $50.08 | 19.4% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $66.97 | 59.6% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $22.31 | -46.8% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $6.92 | -83.5% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 6 out of 7 methods, AA appears fairly valued at the current price of $41.95. The base case fair value of $44.92 implies 7.1% upside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.