American Airlines Group Inc.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-111.3% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-22.4% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
73.4% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-32.40 | -324.5% | High (40%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $58.76 | 307.2% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $8.63 | -40.2% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $13.77 | -4.6% | High (70%) |
Based on 4 out of 8 methods, AAL appears fairly valued at the current price of $14.43. The base case fair value of $11.20 implies 22.4% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.