Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from company filings.
Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from company filings.
AAON, INC.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-74.1% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-72.9% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-70.0% vs price
◇ = Current price | | Bear | Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE Comparable | $37.11 | -55.6% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $22.59 | -72.9% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $21.63 | -74.1% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $25.07 | -70.0% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $10.03 | -88.0% | High (70%) |
Based on 5 out of 7 methods, AAON appears overvalued at the current price of $83.50. The base case fair value of $22.59 implies 72.9% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.