Arbor Realty Trust
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
35.4% vs price
Base Case (Median)
373.4% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
501.6% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $23.67 | 373.4% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $1.93 | -61.3% | Medium (25%) |
| Graham Number | $6.77 | 35.3% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $47.78 | 855.6% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $30.08 | 501.7% | Medium (20%) |
Based on 5 out of 8 methods, ABR appears undervalued at the current price of $5.00. The base case fair value of $23.67 implies 373.4% upside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.