Aecom
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-41.4% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-12.3% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
38.7% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $5875.46 | 9343.0% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $42.18 | -32.2% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $76.18 | 22.4% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $30.39 | -51.2% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $96.38 | 54.9% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $30.74 | -50.6% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $54.55 | -12.3% | High (70%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, ACM appears fairly valued at the current price of $62.22. The base case fair value of $54.55 implies 12.3% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.