Archer-Daniels-Midland Company
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-23.3% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-20.0% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-15.4% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $92.29 | 13.5% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $67.08 | -17.5% | Medium (25%) |
| Graham Number | $62.11 | -23.6% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $62.98 | -22.5% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $69.30 | -14.8% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $60.52 | -25.5% | High (70%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, ADM appears overvalued at the current price of $81.29. The base case fair value of $65.03 implies 20.0% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.