Automatic Data Processing, Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-53.1% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-36.4% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
3.1% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $85.96 | -66.3% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $272.79 | 7.0% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $272.65 | 6.9% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $60.58 | -76.2% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $153.33 | -39.9% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $253.07 | -0.7% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $162.12 | -36.4% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, ADP appears fairly valued at the current price of $254.98. The base case fair value of $162.12 implies 36.4% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.