American Eagle Outfitters, Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-70.3% vs price
Base Case (Median)
15.7% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
75.7% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-11.42 | -169.8% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $30.40 | 86.0% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $40.99 | 150.7% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $18.92 | 15.7% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $27.04 | 65.4% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $1.74 | -89.4% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $7.96 | -51.3% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, AEO appears fairly valued at the current price of $16.35. The base case fair value of $18.92 implies 15.7% upside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.