The AES Corporation
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
166.7% vs price
Base Case (Median)
179.7% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
545.5% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $156.52 | 960.4% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $39.36 | 166.7% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $95.27 | 545.5% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $23.92 | 62.1% | Medium (40%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $41.28 | 179.7% | Medium (20%) |
Based on 5 out of 8 methods, AES appears undervalued at the current price of $14.76. The base case fair value of $41.28 implies 179.7% upside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.