American Financial Group, Inc.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-25.2% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-11.2% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-3.8% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $73.70 | -49.7% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $138.50 | -5.5% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $148.79 | 1.5% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $121.73 | -17.0% | High (80%) |
Based on 4 out of 8 methods, AFG appears overvalued at the current price of $146.60. The base case fair value of $130.11 implies 11.2% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.