Alamos Gold Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-62.3% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-24.7% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
13.6% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $3.61 | -89.4% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $48.89 | 43.8% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $370.99 | 991.5% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $25.60 | -24.7% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $28.36 | -16.6% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $15.01 | -55.8% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $10.65 | -68.7% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, AGI appears fairly valued at the current price of $33.99. The base case fair value of $25.60 implies 24.7% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.