AAR Corp.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-76.9% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-54.6% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-40.0% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $43.89 | -71.4% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $94.03 | -38.8% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $153.88 | 0.1% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $69.75 | -54.6% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $90.31 | -41.2% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $27.21 | -82.3% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $12.55 | -91.8% | High (70%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, AIR appears overvalued at the current price of $153.71. The base case fair value of $69.75 implies 54.6% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.