Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-62.5% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-53.4% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-36.3% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $265.44 | -26.0% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $211.86 | -41.0% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $167.29 | -53.4% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $110.78 | -69.1% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $147.74 | -58.8% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $245.56 | -31.6% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $121.52 | -66.1% | High (70%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, AIT appears overvalued at the current price of $358.78. The base case fair value of $167.29 implies 53.4% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.