Alamo Group Inc.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-37.4% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-17.3% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
0.7% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $52.94 | -67.3% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $161.36 | -0.3% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $99.91 | -38.3% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $133.93 | -17.3% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $164.77 | 1.8% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $225.19 | 39.1% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $102.76 | -36.5% | High (70%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, ALG appears fairly valued at the current price of $161.87. The base case fair value of $133.93 implies 17.3% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.