Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-21.3% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-3.9% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
18.8% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $192.44 | 51.4% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $118.05 | -7.1% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $82.14 | -35.4% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $56.09 | -55.9% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $122.14 | -3.9% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $174.05 | 36.9% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $128.02 | 0.7% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, ALSN appears fairly valued at the current price of $127.11. The base case fair value of $122.14 implies 3.9% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.