American Homes 4 Rent
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-55.8% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-37.6% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-10.3% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $7.45 | -77.8% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $18.73 | -44.3% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $13.55 | -59.7% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $23.20 | -31.0% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $32.46 | -3.5% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $50.00 | 48.7% | Medium (20%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, AMH appears overvalued at the current price of $33.63. The base case fair value of $20.97 implies 37.6% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.