Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. (AMR) Fair Value 2026 — DCF & Multi-Method Analysis | EvidInvest | EvidInvest

AMR — Fair Value Analysis

Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc.

Current: $169.01Overvalued

Fair Value Range

Bear Case (25th pct.)

$-10.02

-105.9% vs price

Base Case (Median)

$23.44

-86.1% vs price

Bull Case (75th pct.)

$56.90

-66.3% vs price

$-10.02$23.44$56.90

◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull

Method Breakdown

Method	Est. Value	vs Price	Weight
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)	$-43.48	-125.7%	High (40%)
EV/EBITDA	$90.36	-46.5%	Medium (20%)

Interpretation

Based on 2 out of 8 methods, AMR appears overvalued at the current price of $169.01. The base case fair value of $23.44 implies 86.1% downside.

Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.