AutoNation, Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-56.3% vs price
Base Case (Median)
55.8% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
100.1% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-588.24 | -387.0% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $405.20 | 97.7% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $477.96 | 133.2% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $172.77 | -15.7% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $414.96 | 102.5% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $6.35 | -96.9% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $319.26 | 55.8% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, AN appears fairly valued at the current price of $204.96. The base case fair value of $319.26 implies 55.8% upside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.