APi Group Corporation
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-91.9% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-68.5% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-42.2% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $0.78 | -98.3% | High (40%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $23.61 | -47.2% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $32.50 | -27.3% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $4.58 | -89.8% | High (70%) |
Based on 4 out of 8 methods, APG appears overvalued at the current price of $44.72. The base case fair value of $14.09 implies 68.5% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.