AppLovin Corporation
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-85.9% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-68.9% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-32.7% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $64.62 | -84.3% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $295.93 | -28.3% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $891.24 | 115.9% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $40.62 | -90.2% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $128.54 | -68.9% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $259.90 | -37.0% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $51.59 | -87.5% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, APP appears overvalued at the current price of $412.73. The base case fair value of $128.54 implies 68.9% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.