Antero Resources Corporation
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-22.3% vs price
Base Case (Median)
20.0% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
101.7% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-16.01 | -144.0% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $42.73 | 17.4% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $113.07 | 210.6% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $43.69 | 20.0% | Medium (40%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $55.78 | 53.2% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $91.06 | 150.2% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $13.87 | -61.9% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, AR appears fairly valued at the current price of $36.40. The base case fair value of $43.69 implies 20.0% upside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.