Ares Capital Corporation
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-16.0% vs price
Base Case (Median)
5.7% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
37.6% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $33.30 | 69.5% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $16.33 | -16.9% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $16.55 | -15.7% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $24.94 | 27.0% | High (80%) |
Based on 4 out of 8 methods, ARCC appears fairly valued at the current price of $19.64. The base case fair value of $20.75 implies 5.7% upside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.