Ares Management Corporation
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-83.8% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-81.6% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-55.4% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $165.21 | 16.9% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $22.98 | -83.7% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $22.42 | -84.1% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $29.00 | -79.5% | High (80%) |
Based on 4 out of 8 methods, ARES appears overvalued at the current price of $141.34. The base case fair value of $25.99 implies 81.6% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.