Arlo Technologies, Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-85.0% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-80.7% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-57.5% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $0.92 | -93.3% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $6.84 | -50.1% | Medium (25%) |
| Graham Number | $2.73 | -80.1% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $1.88 | -86.3% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $12.83 | -6.4% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $2.56 | -81.3% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, ARLO appears overvalued at the current price of $13.71. The base case fair value of $2.65 implies 80.7% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.