ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
188.5% vs price
Base Case (Median)
274.6% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
318.7% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-1636.95 | -10045.0% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $55.31 | 236.0% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $69.22 | 320.5% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $44.88 | 172.7% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $102.91 | 525.2% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $68.02 | 313.2% | Medium (20%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, ARR appears undervalued at the current price of $16.46. The base case fair value of $61.66 implies 274.6% upside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.