Ashland Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-73.0% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-56.3% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
18.3% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $87.78 | 18.3% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $20.02 | -73.0% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $13.47 | -81.8% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $32.44 | -56.3% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/FCF | $140.43 | 89.3% | Medium (20%) |
Based on 5 out of 8 methods, ASH appears fairly valued at the current price of $74.17. The base case fair value of $32.44 implies 56.3% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.