Astec Industries, Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-76.2% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-44.9% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-40.3% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-3.98 | -109.2% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $16.45 | -62.0% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $23.81 | -44.9% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $23.86 | -44.8% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $47.13 | 9.0% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $27.78 | -35.8% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $4.11 | -90.5% | High (70%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, ASTE appears overvalued at the current price of $43.25. The base case fair value of $23.81 implies 44.9% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.