Astronics Corporation
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-84.1% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-71.0% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-67.0% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $27.00 | -71.0% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $36.57 | -60.7% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $29.48 | -68.3% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $12.44 | -86.6% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $17.24 | -81.5% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $31.92 | -65.7% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $0.15 | -99.8% | High (70%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, ATRO appears overvalued at the current price of $93.05. The base case fair value of $27.00 implies 71.0% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.