Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from company filings.
Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from company filings.
AvalonBay Communities, Inc.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-81.9% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-77.8% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-71.3% vs price
◇ = Current price | | Bear | Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $188.49 | 2.4% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $39.99 | -78.3% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $13.65 | -92.6% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $41.68 | -77.4% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $31.03 | -83.1% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $56.53 | -69.3% | Medium (20%) |
Based on 6 out of 7 methods, AVB appears overvalued at the current price of $184.06. The base case fair value of $40.83 implies 77.8% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.