Armstrong World Industries, Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-62.8% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-34.6% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-25.1% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $29.20 | -83.7% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $141.24 | -21.2% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $155.54 | -13.2% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $58.25 | -67.5% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $127.00 | -29.1% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $117.20 | -34.6% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $75.18 | -58.0% | High (70%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, AWI appears overvalued at the current price of $179.17. The base case fair value of $117.20 implies 34.6% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.